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Published 21:26 IST, September 4th 2024

US job openings fall to 3-1/2-year low in July

US job openings dropped to a 3-1/2-year low in July, suggesting the labor market was losing steam, but probably not enough for the Federal Reserve.

Reported by: Thomson Reuters
US job openings fall to 3-1/2-year low in July | Image: Republic

Fall in job openings: US job openings dropped to a 3-1/2-year low in July, suggesting the labour market was losing steam, but probably not enough for the Federal Reserve to consider a big interest rate cut this month. Job openings, a measure of labour demand, had fallen by 237,000 to 7.673 million on the last day of July, the lowest level since January 2021, the labour Department's Bureau of labour Statistics said in its Job Openings and labour Turnover Survey, or JOLTS report, on Wednesday. Data for June was revised lower to show 7.910 million unfilled positions instead of the previously reported 8.184 million.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 8.100 million job openings. Hires increased by 273,000 to 5.521 million. Layoffs rose 202,000 to a still-low 1.762 million.

The data suggested that the labour market is not cratering, but slowing in an orderly manner, which would reduce the need for the Fed to deliver a half-percentage-point interest rate cut at the US central bank's Sept. 17-18 policy meeting.

A 50-basis-point rate reduction was also put in doubt by strong consumer spending in July. A rise in the unemployment rate to near a three-year high of 4.3 per cent in July rattled financial markets and ignited fears of a recession.

That was compounded by the government estimating last month that employment gains were overstated by 68,000 jobs per month in the 12 months through March.

However, economists cautioned against viewing these developments as signs that the labour market was in trouble, arguing that a surge in immigrants had boosted the unemployment rate. They also noted that the data from which the government based its so-called payrolls benchmark revision estimate does not include undocumented immigrants, a group that they believe contributed to strong job growth last year.

Updated 21:26 IST, September 4th 2024

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