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Published 02:18 IST, August 30th 2024

Shares on Toronto Stock Exchange rebound after US GDP revision, strong bank earnings

The US GDP grew at a 3% annualised rate in Q2, driven by strong consumer spending and easing slowdown concerns.

Reported by: Thomson Reuters
Toronto Stock Exchange | Image: Shutterstock

Toronto Index rebounds: Shares on the main stock index in Toronto rebounded on Thursday, recouping half of the losses of the past two days, as stocks across a raft of sectors jumped after an upward revision in US economic growth allayed fears of a recession.

The Toronto Stock Exchange's S&P/TSX composite index .GSPTSE closed up 100.32 points, or 0.43 per cent, to 23,227.30, inching back to an all-time high seen earlier in the week.

US gross domestic product for the second quarter grew at a 3 per cent annualised rate on higher consumer spending, quelling fears of an economic slowdown in the United States.

"This positive news has really solidified investors' expectations for that optimistic soft landing," said Candice Bangsund, vice president and portfolio manager, global asset allocation at Fiera Capital Corporation.

A soft landing is essentially a scenario where interest rates are high enough to bring inflation down to a central bank's target without causing a recession.

The benchmark index was also boosted by earnings in the local financial sector, which concluded with an earnings beat by Canada's fifth-largest bank CIBC. Its shares were up more than 5 per cent on the day.

Investments in the financial sector, which has a weight of more than a quarter in the composite index, have grown by over 8 per cent in the last three weeks, backed by strong earnings by a majority of lenders.

"They are a huge barometer of the Canadian economy," said Elvis Picardo, a portfolio manager at Luft Financial, iA Private Wealth.

Some of the money the lenders had set aside to meet obligations of missed or default loan payments were lower than expected, reflecting a local economy in better shape than had been expected, Picardo said.

Statistics Canada will be releasing second quarter GDP numbers on Friday, with most analysts expecting a 1.6 per cent quarter-on-quarter annualised growth. The numbers are most likely to firm up expectations of another 25 basis point rate cut next week, bringing Bank of Canada's key policy rate to 4.25 per cent.

A rate cut would stimulate the economy further and be good for the market, Picardo said.

The materials sector, which comprises mainly gold and other mining companies; energy and technology stocks were other major gainers of the day. Real estate and consumer cyclicals, such as clothing and accessories firms, were the main losers.

 

 

Updated 02:18 IST, August 30th 2024

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