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OPINION

Published 10:27 IST, July 17th 2024

Stripe would be an ugly pattern for Silicon Valley

Most successful 15-year-old startups already have been bought by a bigger rival or proceeded with an IPO.

Reuters Breakingviews
Robert Cyran
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Indian professionals in Silicon Valley,
Stripe would be an ugly pattern for Silicon Valley | Image: Shutterstock/ Representatives

Holding pattern. Stripe develops software to facilitate payments, but its financial backers are struggling to receive theirs. Started by John and Patrick Collison in 2009, the financial technology company has given no sign of going public soon, making it hard for venture capitalists to cash out. Enter Sequoia Capital with a plan that will buy some time, but one which if applied too often would distort the investment model.

Most successful 15-year-old startups already have been bought by a bigger rival or proceeded with an initial public offering. Stripe hasn’t. To appease limited partners itchy to exit funds from 2009 to 2012, Sequoia is offering to buy up to about $860 million of shares using newer funds.

There’s no obvious reason for an IPO. Although it raised $6.5 billion last year, Stripe says the business generates more cash than it spends. Outside investors enable employees to sell their stakes through tender offers, such as the nearly $700 million one in April. The company avoids regulatory and disclosure hassles while fetching a higher valuation than it probably could in public markets.

Total payment volume at Stripe increased 25% last year, exceeding $1 trillion. European rival Adyen ADYEN.AS processed a similar amount and is expanding just as quickly, but its market capitalization is less than $40 billion. Stripe, at $70 billion, may have more growth ahead of it and new services like automated billing also look promising. In today’s choppy IPO markets, however, it might be hard to persuade investors to pay for the prospects.

Sequoia’s plan indicates confidence. It has invested more than $500 million in Stripe, according to a letter to investors published by Axios this week. For now, though, it has no way to turn a $9 billion return on paper into reality.

New Sequoia funds, including an open-ended one, will buy out investors in older ones. If successful, it will plaster over an idiosyncratic problem. There’s liquidity for those who want it, a fresh opportunity to get behind the Collisons, and Stripe avoids the public spotlight for longer.

The problem would be too many Silicon Valley founders getting similar ideas. If companies like Elon Musk’s SpaceX decide they want to stay private, it would significantly alter the venture capital business. The idea has always been to get in early on up-and-comers and get paid out a few years later. Paying steep fees to own chunks of large, mature companies for an indeterminate period of time is something different altogether.

Updated 10:28 IST, July 17th 2024